Win rate
44.4%
20 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$11
realized $-836 · unrealized $847
Portfolio
$847
volume $217,039
Predictions
60
2.5/day · avg $3,617
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 33% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63¢ | 61¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
Sports 56% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 17% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 40¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 53% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-15 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$1 | win |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 7¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 86¢ | 97¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $54 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $667 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $114 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $397 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $732 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $669 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,393 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $684 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $744 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $824 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $894 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $44 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $32 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $171 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 86.4¢ | 97¢ | $-25 | $1,337 | 30/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 2¢ | +$1 | $60 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $1,317 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,444 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,487 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89.9¢ | 88¢ | $-15 | $2,545 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $82 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.9¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $847 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2¢ | +$4 | $77 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97.5¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $1,362 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $31 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $3,444 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77.3¢ | 76¢ | $-3 | $2,154 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $847 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 82.4¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $3,362 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $819 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $846 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.0¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $907 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16.7¢ | 15¢ | $-1 | $152 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $826 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $60 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | $188 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $819 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $110 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.1¢ | 83¢ | $-0 | $134 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 94.9¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | $826 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 14.4¢ | 10¢ | $-2 | $285 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $25 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $36 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87.3¢ | 40¢ | $-4 | $828 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $469 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 96.5¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $906 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.2¢ | 9¢ | +$1 | $250 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.8¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $901 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,610 | 07/11/2028 |