Win rate
44.4%
4 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$188
realized $-2,449 · unrealized $2,636
Portfolio
$2,636
volume $4,369
Predictions
11
4.1/day · avg $397
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 100% +$85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Gay for Palestine" this week? (April 19) | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump post "Democrat Shutdown" this week on Truth Social? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 50% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36¢ | 32¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (9)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19) | No | 97.8¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $300 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Gay for Palestine" this week? (April 19) | No | 98.1¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | $300 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Epic Fury" this week on Truth Social? | No | 90.0¢ | 87¢ | $-8 | $247 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Democrat Shutdown" this week on Truth Social? | No | 97.2¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $22 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 18? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $415 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $195 | 15/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 32¢ | $-38 | $396 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $486 | 30/04/2026 |