Win rate
85.5%
561 W / 95 L
Total PnL
$-6,076
realized $-13,841 · unrealized $7,765
Portfolio
$7,765
volume $2,014,989
Predictions
706
5.2/day · avg $2,854
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 95% +$4,227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$423 | win |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Kansas City Royals | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-1,500 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Geopolitics 91% +$661
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | loss |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Culture 100% +$444
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Politics 100% +$175
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | win |
Mentions 100% +$122
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
Tech 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Other 87% $-5,014
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5) | Racing Club de Lens | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | FC Bayern München | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | win |
| Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5) | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Elections 73% $-5,618
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$251 | win |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$221 | win |
| Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | win |
| Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | loss |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 87.0¢ | 88¢ | +$11 | $2,001 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 94.0¢ | 94¢ | $-11 | $2,100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5) | Racing Club de Lens | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | $-9 | $2,001 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | FC Bayern München | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $2,008 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $1,500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $1,500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $2,500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $750 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $1,001 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 99¢ | +$145 | $500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $826 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $500 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $1,387 | 09/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $2,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5) | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $1,500 | 09/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $4,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $1,500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Taha Baadi | Corentin Moutet | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Copa Colsanitas: Despina Papamichail vs Darja Semenistaja | Darja Semenistaja | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | $-403 | $2,086 | 08/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Cavaliers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $300 | 07/04/2026 |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhang | Zhizhen Zhang | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $1,000 | 06/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska | Dayana Yastremska | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $500 | 06/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $1,700 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-04? | No | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $1,001 | 05/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $1,002 | 05/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bucks | Bucks | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $500 | 05/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Celtics | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,000 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,000 | 05/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Connecticut Huskies | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$684 | $2,500 | 04/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Heat | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$246 | $6,511 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$242 | $4,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $2,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $500 | 04/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Rockets | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $1,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $966 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04? | No | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $3,552 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $1,500 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $1,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $200 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04? | No | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-348 | $1,201 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | No | 95.3¢ | 0¢ | $-493 | $500 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04? | No | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | $-876 | $2,351 | 04/04/2026 |