0x05dd...305c

Crypto 90% +$450 $20,811 vol · 246 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	83¢	95¢	+$7	win
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	89¢	98¢	+$3	win
Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	74¢	65¢	$-2	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	62¢	62¢	$-7	loss
Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?	No	98¢	97¢	$-2	loss

Finance 100% +$78 $1,514 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	91¢	98¢	+$18	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Up	85¢	100¢	+$18	win

Culture 100% +$16 $198 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?	No	68¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 100% +$5 $85 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 15)	No	90¢	100¢	+$5	win

Economy 100% +$0 $170 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—

Sports 53% $-76 $6,166 vol · 81 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	11¢	16¢	+$11	win
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	61¢	56¢	$-32	loss
Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will High Point advance to the Final Four?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Galions	82¢	100¢	+$5	win
LoL: Verdant vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	77¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Bucks vs. Suns	Bucks	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Celtics vs. Grizzlies	Celtics	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Mentions 44% $-91 $11,702 vol · 99 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Weather 94% $-226 $25,454 vol · 247 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 49% $-330 $8,320 vol · 95 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs BetBoom Team - Game 3 Winner	BetBoom Team	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	G2	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	L1ga Team	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Barcząca Esports	91¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner	Yakult Brothers	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season	RMD Gaming	17¢	0¢	$-9	loss

Politics 76% $-569 $8,945 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	27¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	No	84¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 46% $-712 $5,580 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	90¢	92¢	+$0	win
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	90¢	0¢	$-310	loss
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?	Yes	79¢	8¢	$-53	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	75¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	62¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on April 7?	No	60¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on April 7?	No	56¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $290?	No	34¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Other 62% $-991 $36,544 vol · 299 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	96¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$37	win
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	72¢	82¢	+$24	win
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	6¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	77¢	0¢	$-169	loss
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 76% $-1,534 $40,447 vol · 167 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	46¢	76¢	+$74	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	67¢	84¢	+$27	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	60¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	94¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	13¢	0¢	$-117	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	86¢	90¢	+$2	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	70¢	94¢	+$1	win