Win rate
51.4%
36 W / 34 L
Total PnL
$2,143
realized $930 · unrealized $1,214
Portfolio
$1,214
volume $29,161
Predictions
112
2.3/day · avg $260
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/08/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$2,177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$25 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | CR Flamengo | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | win |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 12? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
Sports 55% +$83
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 50¢ | 88¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 50¢ | 10¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 58¢ | 56¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$7 | win |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Charles Oliveira | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Politics 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 67% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Esports 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
Tech 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 10? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 10? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Economy 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
Elections 50% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
Finance 50% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11? | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11? | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Geopolitics 44% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 50¢ | 6¢ | $-72 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | CR Flamengo | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 03/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $140 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | $140 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $125 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $125 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 60.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Charles Oliveira | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $52 | 08/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $150 | 07/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 07/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $100 | 22/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | $100 | 14/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | $100 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $150 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $100 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $100 | 12/02/2026 |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 12? | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $99 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $100 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $100 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $150 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11? | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11? | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $100 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 10? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $100 | 10/02/2026 |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 10/02/2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 10/02/2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/02/2026 |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 10? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | +$58 | $332 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-60 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |