Win rate
65.7%
435 W / 227 L
Total PnL
$252,544
realized $172,174 · unrealized $80,370
Portfolio
$80,370
volume $32,856,571
Predictions
564
8.2/day · avg $58,256
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 52% +$134,785
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 86¢ | 88¢ | $-2,737 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 65¢ | 56¢ | $-1,966 | loss |
| Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$19 | win |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 36¢ | 39¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 44¢ | 45¢ | $-79 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-713 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-7,174 | loss |
Geopolitics 68% +$46,069
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 65¢ | 84¢ | +$285 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 22¢ | 16¢ | +$86 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 30¢ | +$26 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 50¢ | 70¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-5,181 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 10¢ | $-333 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$20 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 17¢ | 6¢ | $-31 | loss |
Crypto 75% +$34,229
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | 80k | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 54¢ | 51¢ | $-30 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $-1,483 | loss |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$8,162 | win |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-17,474 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-7,604 | loss |
Tech 57% +$24,407
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Yes | 60¢ | 70¢ | +$180 | win |
| Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-757 | loss |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-5,901 | loss |
| Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-565 | loss |
| Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-408 | loss |
| Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-1,139 | loss |
Politics 75% +$12,223
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 60¢ | 36¢ | +$16 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 44¢ | 60¢ | $-1,831 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | No | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-2,392 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first? | Putin | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Trump divorce in 2025? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 94% +$3,512
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$601 | win |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$327 | win |
| Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$282 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$133 | win |
| Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$81 | win |
Sports 79% +$289
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will another athlete win Gold in Women’s Tennis? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$111 | win |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 56% +$129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | No | 71¢ | 70¢ | +$3 | win |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Yes | 36¢ | 30¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 45¢ | 40¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 58¢ | 78¢ | $-78 | loss |
Culture 100% +$100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
Economy 60% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US recession in 2025? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 0% $-1,000
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | +$25,675 | $107,916 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 9.2¢ | 9¢ | +$8,413 | $18,492 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | +$4,089 | $13,455 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $89 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2,392 | $19,113 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $-21,583 | $43,400 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 77.6¢ | 91¢ | +$2,366 | $257,081 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 91¢ | $-14,524 | $114,467 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 21.4¢ | 9¢ | +$4,172 | $42,507 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | +$31,046 | $7,085 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21,541 | $64,553 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$13,266 | $14,675 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | +$13,166 | $21,622 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | +$13,043 | $30,059 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | +$7,536 | $4,202 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7,396 | $1,402 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2,221 | $66,014 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2,200 | $75,820 | 31/03/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | Yes | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | +$2,173 | $591 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | +$2,115 | $5,761 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | +$216 | $338 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | +$195 | $818 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | $382 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$57 | $418 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | 19.8¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $240 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $396 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,560 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $134 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $211 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-101 | $1,040 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | $40,844 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | $-221 | $1,055 | 31/03/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1,909 | $19,699 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | $-6,282 | $25,613 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | $-7,993 | $26,895 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | $-10,228 | $64,148 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11,116 | $38,300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11,205 | $80,528 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 31.1¢ | 0¢ | $-17,355 | $42,278 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | $-27,262 | $100,874 | 31/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10,299 | $52,500 | 28/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Illinois Fighting Illini | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | $-428 | $16,659 | 26/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$257 | $127 | 22/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Alabama Crimson Tide | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-390 | $9,968 | 22/03/2026 |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $16,500 | 22/03/2026 |
| Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Tennessee State Tigers | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 77.2¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $433 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | +$72 | $330 | 01/03/2026 |