iForgor

Politics 45% +$20,417 $208,467 vol · 443 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	Yes	18¢	16¢	$-7	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$858	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	25¢	45¢	+$290	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	15¢	4¢	+$350	win
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" in April?	No	5¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	34¢	0¢	$-1,466	loss
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	Yes	29¢	10¢	$-355	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$165	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	+$214	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-215	loss

Geopolitics 58% +$7,572 $180,837 vol · 145 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	28¢	0¢	+$1,226	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	20¢	0¢	$-2,381	loss
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-299	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	41¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	81¢	82¢	$-80	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	11¢	0¢	$-1,881	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	57¢	78¢	+$3,164	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	11¢	76¢	+$252	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	27¢	24¢	+$307	win

Elections 47% +$1,134 $19,209 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	81¢	100¢	+$1,095	win
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-165	loss
Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?	No	65¢	100¢	+$174	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$-0	—
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-249	loss
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	8¢	0¢	+$41	win
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	Yes	59¢	100¢	$-40	loss
Will Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?	No	56¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Kamala Harris say "Election" or "Elected" during Colbert show on July 31?	No	29¢	0¢	$-54	loss

Economy 86% +$879 $945 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?	No	8¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Stress" or "DNA" or "Sexual" while tripping balls?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Buffett say "Recession" 3+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?	No	49¢	100¢	+$59	win

Esports 62% +$612 $11,681 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	7¢	0¢	$-95	loss
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	T1	74¢	100¢	+$69	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	7¢	0¢	$-575	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)	Top Esports	98¢	100¢	+$40	win
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)	Hanwha Life Esports	11¢	0¢	+$280	win
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)	Gen.G	95¢	100¢	+$40	win
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)	Top Esports	97¢	100¢	+$81	win
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)	Movistar KOI	16¢	0¢	$-330	loss

Finance 55% +$109 $2,266 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	50¢	90¢	+$58	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	51¢	44¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$122	win
Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-136	loss
Will anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	No	26¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will Buffett say "Federal Reserve" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?	No	11¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Michael Saylor say "Tariff" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-9	loss

Sports 57% $-379 $10,763 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	17¢	17¢	$-3	loss
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	84¢	100¢	+$551	win
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?	No	25¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Tate	83¢	0¢	$-749	loss
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	No	14¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-196	loss

Weather 0% $-452 $452 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Dubai be between 101-102°F on May 31?	No	31¢	0¢	$-452	loss

Tech 38% $-1,370 $31,826 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	19¢	22¢	+$90	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-419	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-1,642	loss
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?	No	60¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?	No	40¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-127	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-317	loss
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	No	58¢	100¢	+$475	win
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	14¢	0¢	$-60	loss

Mentions 30% $-3,261 $26,247 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	65¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	No	75¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-224	loss
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-876	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	19¢	0¢	$-655	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-1,393	loss
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?	No	81¢	100¢	+$24	win
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Tuesday?	No	33¢	0¢	$-436	loss
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?	No	29¢	0¢	$-920	loss
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?	No	28¢	0¢	$-86	loss

Culture 34% $-3,453 $28,375 vol · 73 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	22¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?	No	80¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will "Leo" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	46¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?	No	51¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Oscars Bingo	No	50¢	0¢	$-250	loss
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-1,026	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-1,940	loss
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	34¢	0¢	$-106	loss
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-71	loss

Other 46% $-6,961 $421,789 vol · 434 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	26¢	100¢	+$224	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	15¢	68¢	+$2,154	win
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	10¢	100¢	+$529	win
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$60	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	78¢	82¢	+$300	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	—
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	64¢	48¢	$-1	loss
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	13¢	8¢	$-739	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	50¢	64¢	+$60	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	20¢	55¢	+$2	win

Crypto 41% $-7,371 $51,631 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	40¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	57¢	60¢	+$1	win
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	No	27¢	0¢	$-154	loss
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$239	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	0¢	0¢	+$30	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	29¢	100¢	+$54	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	17¢	0¢	+$40	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	21¢	0¢	+$34	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	19¢	0¢	+$32	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	35¢	100¢	+$28	win