Hongkg101

Politics 100% +$2 $102 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	85¢	86¢	+$1	win

Other 0% $-2 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	48¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-32 $986 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$0	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	62¢	56¢	$-8	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	38¢	44¢	+$5	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	47¢	56¢	+$16	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	51¢	44¢	$-8	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	40¢	41¢	+$1	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	58¢	51¢	$-4	loss

Crypto 61% $-3,518 $70,185 vol · 1068 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	41¢	100¢	+$105	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	25¢	100¢	+$102	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	41¢	100¢	+$62	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	72¢	100¢	+$58	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	57¢	100¢	+$56	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	45¢	100¢	+$51	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	36¢	100¢	+$47	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	45¢	100¢	+$33	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	63¢	100¢	+$30	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	81¢	100¢	+$25	win