0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

Mentions 67% +$75 $308 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$11	win

Weather 86% +$58 $282 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 8?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?	No	82¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 7?	No	71¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 7?	No	73¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 7?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?	No	62¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 67% +$55 $1,087 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	42¢	74¢	+$7	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	81¢	81¢	+$1	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	47¢	71¢	+$6	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	80¢	76¢	$-0	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	81¢	94¢	+$17	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	88¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	77¢	100¢	$-3	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	41¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	69¢	96¢	+$1	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	89¢	58¢	+$0	win

Elections 83% +$35 $505 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	56¢	66¢	+$3	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	85¢	78¢	+$14	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	84¢	78¢	+$9	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	87¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	61¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	74¢	79¢	+$2	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	71¢	78¢	+$2	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$13	win

Politics 50% +$10 $340 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	14¢	44¢	+$16	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	87¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	No	79¢	99¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 36% $-5 $442 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	63¢	63¢	$-1	loss
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14¢	11¢	$-1	loss
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	67¢	78¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	45¢	38¢	$-2	loss
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	27¢	62¢	$-6	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	21¢	1¢	$-14	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	70¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	83¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$36	win

Tech 0% $-11 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?	Yes	49¢	100¢	$-11	loss