Bageb

Elections 77% +$13,233 $9,529 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?	Yes	7¢	11¢	+$47	win
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$70	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	58¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	18¢	100¢	+$2,461	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-218	loss
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	9¢	0¢	$-167	loss

Geopolitics 45% +$7,324 $10,120 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$12	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	13¢	46¢	+$445	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	0¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	52¢	91¢	$-34	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	0¢	0¢	$-156	loss
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$1,794	win
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	No	0¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-79	loss

Other 42% +$2,967 $16,222 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	27¢	0¢	+$99	win
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	2¢	0¢	+$72	win
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	No	3¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	1¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	17¢	6¢	$-233	loss
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	85¢	56¢	$-95	loss
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	3¢	2¢	$-41	loss

Sports 100% +$8 $110 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$8	win

Economy 0% $-20 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Weather 0% $-28 $28 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Crypto 50% $-34 $812 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	0¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-51	loss

Culture 0% $-149 $287 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-99	loss

Politics 0% $-428 $596 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-354	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-34	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-20	loss