Win rate
97.8%
1119 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$49
realized $-499 · unrealized $548
Portfolio
$548
volume $111,665
Predictions
1,995
23.8/day · avg $56
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 97% +$52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Eva Vedder | Polina Kudermetova | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff | Aryna Sabalenka | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda | Carlos Alcaraz | 78¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan | Bangladesh | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Elina Svitolina | Elina Svitolina | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bucks vs. Hawks | Hawks | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Celtics | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $100? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Nets | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $185? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $175? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 5? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 3? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crime 101 be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 96% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 96% $-73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 98% $-142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 16? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 16? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.45 on April 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 16? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 98.3¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 16? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 16? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.45 on April 15? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 15? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 15? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 14? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 14? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 14? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 15? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $80 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on April 14? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 13? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 13? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 13? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 13? | No | 98.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 12? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 12? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 12? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 12? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13? | No | 88.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 12? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 12? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 12? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 11? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |