Win rate
68.8%
33 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$147
realized $-500 · unrealized $646
Portfolio
$646
volume $14,013
Predictions
434
22.6/day · avg $32
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 78% +$149
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 62¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26¢ | 24¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Over | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Sports 54% +$52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees | Miami Marlins | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Kings | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Wild vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Flames vs. Ducks | Ducks | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Pistons | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Kings | Maple Leafs | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Spread: Hornets (-14.5) | Hornets | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Hornets | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Timberwolves | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Geopolitics 70% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 61¢ | 22¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 48¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (48)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $58 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 84.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees | Miami Marlins | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $64 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 16.5¢ | 1¢ | $-22 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $33 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 53.4¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $21 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 96.1¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $111 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 87.4¢ | 80¢ | +$5 | $79 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-13.5) | Kings | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Kings | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 06/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 05/04/2026 |
| Flames vs. Ducks | Ducks | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 05/04/2026 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $76 | 04/04/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Over | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $42 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $23 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | Pistons | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $36 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Pistons | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Pistons | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $40 | 04/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Kings | Maple Leafs | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-14.5) | Hornets | 57.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $27 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Hornets | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $20 | 02/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Timberwolves | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $72 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 76.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $33 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 78.6¢ | 80¢ | +$3 | $57 | 22/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 24¢ | +$3 | $53 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 27.0¢ | 48¢ | +$27 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 95.4¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $159 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 60.4¢ | 60¢ | $-8 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $92 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 76.9¢ | 77¢ | +$0 | $20 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 86.0¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | $20 | 07/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 93.4¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 93.0¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | $81 | 30/06/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 88.0¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 62¢ | $-1 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 57¢ | +$1 | $20 | 13/09/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 66.4¢ | 67¢ | +$0 | $20 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 66.8¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | $29 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $86 | 31/12/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 61.0¢ | 22¢ | $-2 | $27 | 31/12/2026 |