Win rate
82.5%
4902 W / 1039 L
Total PnL
$325,061
realized $266,580 · unrealized $58,481
Portfolio
$58,481
volume $8,765,109
Predictions
8,178
67.7/day · avg $1,072
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 80% +$195,246
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Njoku play for Los Angeles Rams in 2026-27? | No | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? | Yes | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-5,515 | loss |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 10¢ | +$95 | win |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 99¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft? | No | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tony Finau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 98¢ | 50¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 46¢ | 38¢ | $-6 | loss |
Sports 85% +$111,679
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? | Yes | 36¢ | 98¢ | +$87 | win |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 30¢ | 51¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | 44¢ | 49¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 | Under | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
Weather 50% +$6,278
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | win |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 143.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$812 | win |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5 | Under | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Missouri State Bears vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Baylor Bears vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$5,773 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on June 10? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
Culture 71% +$2,564
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-601 | loss |
| Will "Bully - Kanye West" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$598 | win |
| Will "Bully - Kanye West" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-751 | loss |
Economy 60% +$1,897
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Coppin State Eagles | Coppin State Eagles | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners | Bakersfield Roadrunners | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Mississippi State vs. Florida Gators: O/U 50.5 | Under | 3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,940 | win |
| Mississippi State vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Finance 100% +$639
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| Jacquemot vs. Bondar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 72% +$354
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$126 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Yes | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 68¢ | 79¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
Tech 65% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9? | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$131 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Competition" during earnings call? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will anyone say "Networking" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will anyone say "Professional" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his West Virginia speech on August 8? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Will anyone say "Stargate" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will anyone say "Robotics" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Esports 89% $-418
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5 | Over | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5 | Over | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5 | Under | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | loss |
| Will MOUZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 58% $-437
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$417 | win |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-612 | loss |
| Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 | Over | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 | Under | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| Will Ruka Hirano (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5 | Under | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Over | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5 | Over | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5 | Over | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Canucks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Over | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
Elections 73% $-1,509
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 52¢ | 88¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | Yes | 14¢ | 28¢ | +$81 | win |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | No | 52¢ | 72¢ | +$173 | win |
| Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | win |
| Will Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | win |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-681 | loss |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-1,384 | loss |
Politics 71% $-2,858
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$176 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 70¢ | 60¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | Yes | 63¢ | 72¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 57¢ | 60¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | No | 70¢ | 74¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? | Yes | 53¢ | 91¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38? | Yes | 92¢ | 91¢ | $-11 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $4,840 | 16/04/2026 |
| Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | Yes | 41.2¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $62 | 15/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 | Under | 65.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $114 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $230 | 14/04/2026 |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 8.5 | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | +$9,341 | $1,164 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$5,100 | $186 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$4,605 | $380 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | +$3,079 | $342 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2,951 | $73,317 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | +$2,211 | $543 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,803 | $54,882 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,212 | $20,363 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,175 | $52,849 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1,118 | $445 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$822 | $14,075 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | +$383 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | $27,739 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | $7,292 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | $7,428 | 13/04/2026 |
| The Masters 2026: Bryson DeChambeau vs. Jon Rahm | Rahm | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $689 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $4,486 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$56 | $57 | 13/04/2026 |
| The Masters 2026: Playoff? | No | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $234 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $2,275 | 13/04/2026 |
| The Masters 2026: Playoff? | Yes | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $47 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Gerard be the highest finishing debutant at the 2026 Masters? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $59 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $293 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | $98 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $-67 | $137 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-107 | $220 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-155 | $339 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-298 | $609 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $474 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | $-336 | $764 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-838 | $17,562 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $-926 | $1,327 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1,169 | $2,942 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,527 | $1,577 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,022 | $854 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2,931 | $12,012 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4,551 | $9,828 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | $-5,154 | $11,209 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | $-6,211 | $56,491 | 13/04/2026 |