Win rate
76.1%
404 W / 127 L
Total PnL
$-217
realized $-865 · unrealized $648
Portfolio
$648
volume $422,179
Predictions
723
2.2/day · avg $584
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 78% +$2,662
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | Yes | 64¢ | 26¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | No | 64¢ | 37¢ | +$1 | win |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | Under | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | win |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Under | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | Under | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Over | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | loss |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 | Over | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
Mentions 71% +$845
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Esports 100% +$82
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5 | Under | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5 | Over | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Geopolitics 90% +$44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5 | Over | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 | Over | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5 | Over | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5 | Over | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5 | Over | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 100% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Tech 0% $-315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-315 | loss |
Crypto 94% $-1,822
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Down | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Down | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Down | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Up | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Down | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Down | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 75% $-1,970
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Spurs | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Nuggets | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5 | Under | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Knicks | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Under | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | Under | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | $149 | 04/04/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Under | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $500 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $500 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $579 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $75 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 71.1¢ | 100¢ | $-70 | $492 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $78 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | $-98 | $300 | 03/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 27.5¢ | 100¢ | $-105 | $264 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | $-142 | $663 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $401 | 30/03/2026 |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $400 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $100 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $500 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $100 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $500 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $857 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $500 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $200 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $500 | 23/03/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | Under | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 63.2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Over | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $785 | 21/03/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 | Over | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 57.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5 | Over | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $200 | 20/03/2026 |
| RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | Over | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $200 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $700 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 75.3¢ | 100¢ | $-76 | $1,797 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $200 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 95.2¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $1,000 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $100 | 19/03/2026 |
| FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 | Over | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $100 | 19/03/2026 |
| FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 19/03/2026 |
| FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $50 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $100 | 19/03/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 72.9¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $101 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $500 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 41.9¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $200 | 18/03/2026 |