Win rate
46.4%
26 W / 30 L
Total PnL
$40
realized $-568 · unrealized $608
Portfolio
$608
volume $47,264
Predictions
222
3.7/day · avg $213
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 71% +$454
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$0 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
Esports 100% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Vitality | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 0% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 67¢ | 74¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Other 38% $-294
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32¢ | 53¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 84¢ | 44¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 33¢ | 1¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 32¢ | 1¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Germany win on 2026-03-30? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 42% $-649
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 26¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 46¢ | 42¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - March 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Down | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Down | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Up | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $1,049 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 92.1¢ | 99¢ | +$12 | $513 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 31.8¢ | 1¢ | $-56 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 1¢ | $-70 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 84.2¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $250 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1? | Yes | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Down | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $50 | 30/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Down | 67.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $28 | 30/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Down | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Up | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-03-30? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 61.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 30/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Up | 66.3¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $120 | 29/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner | Vitality | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $130 | 29/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Vitality | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $81 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Up | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $27 | 29/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Down | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Up | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Down | 53.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 52.2¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $100 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Up | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $110 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | Down | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $139 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $110 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Up | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Up | 67.5¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $61 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 84.4¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Up | 50.5¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | $130 | 24/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Down | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $160 | 24/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Down | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 24/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Up | 53.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 24/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Up | 49.4¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $25 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Up | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Down | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Down | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 58.2¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 36.6¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | $135 | 19/02/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 50.8¢ | 100¢ | +$171 | $880 | 01/01/1970 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 58.9¢ | 53¢ | $-64 | $677 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $894 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 53¢ | $-23 | $151 | 30/04/2026 |