farik18

Elections 43% +$1,154 $2,777 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	49¢	52¢	$-3	loss
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	$-53	loss
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	25¢	1¢	$-71	loss
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	20¢	100¢	+$889	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	6¢	100¢	+$657	win
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-151	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	No	34¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-64	loss

Sports 62% +$866 $3,332 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	41¢	0¢	$-123	loss
Flyers vs. Devils	Flyers	47¢	100¢	+$159	win
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings	Blue Jackets	51¢	100¢	+$48	win
Blackhawks vs. Kraken	Kraken	61¢	0¢	$-160	loss
Blues vs. Ducks	Blues	44¢	100¢	+$162	win
Canadiens vs. Devils	Devils	48¢	0¢	$-112	loss
Sabres vs. Capitals	Sabres	51¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Flyers vs. Islanders	Flyers	42¢	100¢	+$174	win
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks	Sharks	55¢	100¢	+$135	win

Geopolitics 47% +$403 $21,085 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	30¢	72¢	+$53	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	25¢	0¢	+$27	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	30¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-24	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	25¢	30¢	+$3	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	72¢	70¢	$-65	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	37¢	55¢	$-1	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	15¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$42	win

Culture 100% +$200 $467 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	76¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	69¢	100¢	+$176	win

Finance 100% +$7 $765 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win

Crypto 0% $-28 $1,861 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	70¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Politics 53% $-66 $7,967 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$114	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	11¢	0¢	$-170	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	67¢	60¢	$-37	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	56¢	40¢	$-136	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	25¢	10¢	$-22	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$24	win
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	No	7¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	No	98¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$13	win

Other 43% $-97 $19,873 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	68¢	76¢	+$26	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-4	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	$-19	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	14¢	18¢	$-38	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	6¢	6¢	$-1	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	38¢	42¢	+$34	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	83¢	100¢	+$58	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?	No	53¢	0¢	$-8	loss