Win rate
36.7%
11 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-20
realized $-1,102 · unrealized $1,082
Portfolio
$1,082
volume $10,334
Predictions
93
3.6/day · avg $111
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 36¢ | +$2 | win |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 9¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 74¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | No | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Elections 36% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | No | 13¢ | 10¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 12¢ | 10¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 12¢ | 6¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | No | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | 26¢ | 26¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | loss |
Sports 40% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Yes | 28¢ | 11¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? | Yes | 41¢ | 36¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 52¢ | 28¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (30)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 3¢ | $-13 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 53¢ | +$2 | $40 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $40 | 04/01/2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 10¢ | $-2 | $40 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | $25 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $40 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | 26.0¢ | 26¢ | $-11 | $41 | 23/04/2026 |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | No | 49.9¢ | 40¢ | $-8 | $40 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 49.6¢ | 39¢ | $-6 | $40 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 41.6¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | $40 | 18/05/2026 |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 52.3¢ | 28¢ | +$4 | $40 | 18/05/2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | No | 64.0¢ | 68¢ | +$6 | $40 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 74.0¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | $40 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 12.0¢ | 6¢ | $-14 | $42 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 12.0¢ | 10¢ | $-4 | $33 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | No | 48.0¢ | 96¢ | +$41 | $40 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | No | 13.1¢ | 10¢ | $-4 | $36 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36.0¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | $21 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79.2¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | $40 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 66¢ | +$7 | $40 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 9.0¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | $32 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 18¢ | $-2 | $31 | 21/06/2026 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 10¢ | $-1 | $31 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 11¢ | $-2 | $33 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 36¢ | $-3 | $25 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 40.0¢ | 44¢ | +$3 | $31 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 9¢ | $-18 | $41 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 36¢ | +$2 | $36 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 11¢ | $-32 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |