Win rate
42.1%
24 W / 33 L
Total PnL
$2,371
realized $-34,910 · unrealized $37,280
Portfolio
$37,280
volume $322,085
Predictions
64
0.7/day · avg $5,033
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 73% +$5,051
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-681 | loss |
| Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Clippers | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$259 | win |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Penguins | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,609 | win |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Lakers | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$602 | win |
| Kings vs. Magic | Magic | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$989 | win |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Celtics | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$482 | win |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Magic | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$619 | win |
| Nets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$870 | win |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Spurs | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$205 | win |
Economy 0% $-120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
Politics 50% $-130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | 45¢ | 84¢ | +$299 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 56¢ | 6¢ | $-1,415 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$748 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | loss |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$415 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$500 | win |
Esports 33% $-699
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 74¢ | 74¢ | $-95 | loss |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1,485 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$488 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$946 | win |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | MOUZ | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A | OG | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner | OG | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Team Falcons | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | win |
Crypto 20% $-904
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Up | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Down | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
Other 50% $-1,171
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$766 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$3,978 | win |
| Will Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-6,977 | loss |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,769 | win |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-1,393
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,485 | $1,500 | 16/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $-681 | $700 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 81.1¢ | 99¢ | +$3,978 | $18,498 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA? | Yes | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6,977 | $6,999 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$488 | $3,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Clippers | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$259 | $5,000 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $100 | 06/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Penguins | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,609 | $14,405 | 05/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$748 | $5,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Lakers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$602 | $8,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 77.4¢ | 100¢ | $-57 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | 76.8¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | $600 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Magic | Magic | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$989 | $10,000 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 18/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Up | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 16/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Celtics | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$482 | $10,000 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | Yes | 34.7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Magic | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$619 | $5,000 | 12/03/2026 |
| Nets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$870 | $10,000 | 28/02/2026 |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? | No | 63.6¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 28/02/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Spurs | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$205 | $1,000 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 83.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,599 | $8,000 | 22/02/2026 |
| Kings vs. Spurs | Spurs | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,561 | $20,742 | 22/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$946 | $5,000 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Down | 77.7¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $200 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $1,000 | 22/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | MOUZ | 39.2¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 21/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A | OG | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 20/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner | OG | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-34 | $1,710 | 18/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | OG | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | $600 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 78.1¢ | 100¢ | +$294 | $1,049 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 69.2¢ | 0¢ | $-2,257 | $3,258 | 15/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 5.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,769 | $100 | 14/02/2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | No | 52.8¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | $600 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 83.3¢ | 100¢ | +$415 | $2,166 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $120 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $111 | 10/02/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Hornets | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 10/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | Yes | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | Up | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7? | Yes | 38.8¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 07/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 07/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Team Falcons | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | $600 | 06/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 32.4¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 05/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Up | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $104 | 05/02/2026 |