Win rate
34.2%
26 W / 50 L
Total PnL
$-3,709
realized $-4,692 · unrealized $983
Portfolio
$983
volume $271,231
Predictions
196
2.4/day · avg $1,384
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 100% +$120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Suns | Lakers | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Heat vs. Magic | Magic | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Kings vs. Pacers | Pacers | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | Thunder | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Other 38% $-237
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 32¢ | 44¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 63¢ | 99¢ | +$203 | win |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 35¢ | 16¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 62¢ | 2¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Memli Krasniqi be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti | Musetti | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Crypto 0% $-380
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-380 | loss |
Politics 29% $-659
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | Yes | 44¢ | 22¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 29% $-2,217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 31¢ | 22¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 47¢ | 40¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 60¢ | 64¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 24¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36¢ | 34¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 15¢ | 10¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 53¢ | 46¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election? | No | 13¢ | 10¢ | $-15 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $382 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 63.1¢ | 99¢ | +$203 | $355 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections? | Yes | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $70 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election? | Yes | 21.8¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $138 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election? | No | 28.5¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $196 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election? | No | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $74 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Høgni Hoydal be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $62 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon? | Yes | 28.7¢ | 100¢ | +$558 | $226 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon? | No | 39.4¢ | 100¢ | +$299 | $199 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre? | Yes | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $31 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? | No | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 34.6¢ | 16¢ | $-97 | $195 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 62.2¢ | 2¢ | $-130 | $135 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | No | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $145 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $96 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $50 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $49 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | No | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $45 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $30 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $91 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $100 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $-396 | $405 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-408 | $418 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | $333 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | No | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | $28 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? | Yes | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $175 | 28/12/2025 |
| Will Memli Krasniqi be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $103 | 28/12/2025 |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Lakers | 48.4¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $50 | 15/12/2025 |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13? | Yes | 38.2¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 13/12/2025 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $88 | 11/12/2025 |
| Heat vs. Magic | Magic | 41.8¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $30 | 09/12/2025 |
| Kings vs. Pacers | Pacers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $40 | 09/12/2025 |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | Thunder | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $300 | 08/12/2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | +$62 | $300 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | $1,668 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-657 | $672 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 79.1¢ | 100¢ | +$504 | $2,731 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $-526 | $271 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara and Evelyn Matthei advance to the runoff? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff? | Yes | 17.2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $117 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $110 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $100 | 11/11/2025 |
| Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? | Yes | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,047 | $863 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election? | Yes | 78.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $58 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-57 | $1,037 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-636 | $424 | 04/11/2025 |
| Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti | Musetti | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $35 | 31/10/2025 |