Win rate
72.2%
356 W / 137 L
Total PnL
$38,798
realized $-48,352 · unrealized $87,150
Portfolio
$87,150
volume $1,545,521
Predictions
651
8.1/day · avg $2,374
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 82% +$17,950
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 60¢ | 70¢ | +$1,390 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 55¢ | 82¢ | +$349 | win |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$8 | win |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | No | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | No | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | loss |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 67% +$9,134
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 46¢ | 25¢ | +$2 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | — |
| Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$211 | win |
| Will Almanak FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-2,172 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$43 | win |
| Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 68¢ | 22¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
Crypto 88% +$5,241
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $100 in March? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana reach $190 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 88% +$4,630
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$270 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$71 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$8 | win |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$720 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$851 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$700 | win |
Sports 47% +$1,088
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 63¢ | 57¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 29¢ | 27¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 72¢ | 71¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Warriors | Mavericks | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves | Bucks | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Colts | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
| Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua? | Joshua | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Tech 100% +$331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Culture 90% +$144
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ropz finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will HeavyGod finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Vitality win the HLTV Team of the Year award? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
Finance 100% +$92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
Elections 67% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 51¢ | 46¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
Esports 58% $-301
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | B8 | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | MOUZ | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will BC.Game Esports win IEM Krakow 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will G2 Esports win IEM Krakow 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | FURIA | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | FURIA | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | G2 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | MOUZ | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 68.9¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $531 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 56.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $144 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $170 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $42 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | +$80 | $3,600 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $312 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$70 | $840 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $410 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $150 | 11/04/2026 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 36.2¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $80 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 08/04/2026 |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 49.5¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $2,327 | 07/04/2026 |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $65 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $896 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $1,793 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 43.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $175 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $993 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $294 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $365 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $267 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $297 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $498 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $964 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $298 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $47 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $198 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in March? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $20 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $489 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | No | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $30 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $269 | 01/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5,252 | $35,213 | 31/03/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$851 | $11,391 | 31/03/2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$185 | $5,216 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$157 | $2,276 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $4,314 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $150 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $1,322 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $1,800 | 31/03/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $210 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $485 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $305 | 31/03/2026 |