Win rate
50.1%
163 W / 162 L
Total PnL
$2,790
realized $-638,520 · unrealized $641,309
Portfolio
$641,309
volume $4,403,654
Predictions
358
8.8/day · avg $12,301
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 71% +$8,285
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$113 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$703 | win |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | loss |
Esports 71% +$5,562
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | win |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | JD Gaming | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$5,892 | win |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B | Natus Vincere | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | PARIVISION | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-793 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Team Liquid | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$370 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In | Team Spirit | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | loss |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
Finance 44% +$754
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 7¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | loss |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | No | 11¢ | 10¢ | $-2 | loss |
| OKX IPO in 2026? | No | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$93 | win |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027? | Yes | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1,155 | win |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 52¢ | 66¢ | +$40 | win |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-454 | loss |
Politics 50% +$600
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 12¢ | 8¢ | +$2,413 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | $-1,005 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$35 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 65¢ | 36¢ | $-308 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 78¢ | 58¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 9¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 1¢ | $-614 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% +$374
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$19 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | win |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$1,906 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$357 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
Tech 67% +$254
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 75¢ | 73¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Meta acquire TikTok? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Tesla dip to $263 in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 100% +$202
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack | Miami Hurricanes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | win |
Elections 36% +$129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | $-32,290 | loss |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$32,290 | win |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$276 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | No | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | Yes | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 16¢ | 10¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Other 48% $-1,004
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 76¢ | 70¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Yes | 20¢ | 32¢ | +$36 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-38 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-177 | loss |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$482 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | win |
Culture 38% $-4,125
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-3,859 | loss |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
Sports 50% $-4,389
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 3¢ | 7¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83¢ | 85¢ | $-2,181 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 45% $-4,924
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 21¢ | 12¢ | +$515 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 88¢ | $-232 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 47¢ | 76¢ | +$2,468 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 42¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 26¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | $-29 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | No | 30¢ | 14¢ | +$1 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$78 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5AM ET | Down | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$90 | $33 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $604 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | $119 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | +$55 | $73 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | $160 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-645 | $645 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-298 | $298 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $6,982 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9AM ET | Up | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $561 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $164 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,458 | $19,027 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$612 | $5,868 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | $5,727 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla dip to $263 in March? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,981 | 01/04/2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $76 | 01/04/2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $-454 | $533 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1,906 | $218 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$357 | $11,760 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $1,595 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | $463 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $9,197 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $2,162 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $63 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-139 | $634 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $186 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,145 | $2,145 | 31/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | $172 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $2,005 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $44 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | Bulls | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,757 | $2,757 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 22/03/2026 |
| Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators | Prairie View A&M Panthers | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 21/03/2026 |
| LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats | LIU Sharks | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 20/03/2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.6¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $250 | 19/03/2026 |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | Louisville Cardinals | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $430 | 19/03/2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $128 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,922 | $237,921 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | $91,445 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | +$87 | $896 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $5,359 | 18/03/2026 |