mang90

Other 51% +$348 $11,368 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	29¢	28¢	$-2	loss
Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-42	loss
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	7¢	10¢	+$13	win
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	15¢	8¢	$-21	loss
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	22¢	18¢	$-10	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	95¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	63¢	68¢	+$4	win

Politics 73% +$302 $6,371 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	19¢	8¢	$-31	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	$-11	loss
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	$-2	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	68¢	36¢	+$227	win
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	78¢	98¢	+$8	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Tech 80% +$190 $295 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	No	21¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	No	20¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 22?	No	32¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	No	5¢	0¢	+$233	win

Elections 75% +$144 $1,215 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	71¢	81¢	$-23	loss
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	93¢	95¢	+$3	win
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	18¢	11¢	+$151	win
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	95¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$5	win

Culture 100% +$24 $826 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than $17m?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Addams Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	44¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$7	win

Mentions 100% +$4 $168 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 100% +$2 $48 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 100% +$0 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 50% $-8 $829 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	Yes	44¢	42¢	$-12	loss

Weather 98% $-44 $5,142 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 15?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 14?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C or higher on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 12?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 46% $-665 $2,752 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	81¢	55¢	$-21	loss
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	59¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	No	90¢	88¢	+$0	win
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	23¢	0¢	$-475	loss
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	99¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	98¢	10¢	$-41	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	98¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 49% $-823 $6,529 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	96¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Aster be the top performing crypto in February?	No	43¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	56¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	45¢	100¢	+$4	win
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	44¢	0¢	$-41	loss
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	9¢	0¢	$-27	loss