BEldghik

Geopolitics 89% +$269 $2,501 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	67¢	30¢	$-115	loss
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	59¢	54¢	+$67	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?	No	9¢	100¢	+$274	win
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel x Syria security agreement by October 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 83% +$41 $1,597 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	96¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 20m?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Mentions 54% +$5 $2,061 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	No	96¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	95¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	97¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?	No	90¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 88% +$2 $856 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	95¢	95¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 100% +$1 $149 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
French election called by October 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 100% +$1 $100 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.25B and $4.50B at market close on IPO day?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 81% $-41 $5,866 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in April?	No	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	86¢	80¢	$-3	loss
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	96¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	96¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?	No	95¢	88¢	$-4	loss
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	94¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?	No	95¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	94¢	88¢	$-3	loss
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 14 be between 85 and 90?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win

Weather 80% $-90 $587 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?	No	91¢	97¢	+$3	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on July 21?	No	100¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on July 20?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 87% $-174 $3,317 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	95¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	96¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	94¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?	No	95¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	No	91¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?	No	91¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 72% $-672 $3,377 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	93¢	73¢	$-6	loss
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	95¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	96¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 17, 2026?	No	92¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	92¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump say "Chuck Norris" this week? (March 29)	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 76% $-9,974 $80,316 vol · 257 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	12¢	2¢	+$16	win
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 24?	No	91¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 23?	No	96¢	90¢	$-3	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 22?	No	95¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 21?	No	96¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 20?	No	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 19?	No	90¢	66¢	$-13	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 18?	No	93¢	71¢	$-12	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET	Up	62¢	0¢	+$2	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 9AM ET	Up	86¢	100¢	$-1	loss