scottilicious

Politics 85% +$568,293 $13,009,014 vol · 321 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33¢	27¢	+$1,052	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	+$11,268	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$1,890	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1,312	win
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	92¢	100¢	+$848	win
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$504	win
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$23	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	59¢	84¢	+$4,083	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	80¢	92¢	+$108	win
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	67¢	87¢	+$189	win

Other 76% +$392,506 $13,926,732 vol · 344 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	82¢	92¢	+$200	win
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	79¢	84¢	$-5,830	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	37¢	24¢	$-343	loss
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	82¢	80¢	$-5	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	94¢	+$21	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1,191	win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3,207	win
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	Yes	47¢	4¢	$-2,990	loss

Elections 85% +$260,250 $8,610,496 vol · 203 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18¢	17¢	+$1,320	win
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3¢	3¢	+$10	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82¢	84¢	+$3,933	win
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-2,967	loss
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	53¢	34¢	$-349	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-6,682	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$752	win
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$486	win
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-717	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	95¢	77¢	$-13,284	loss

Geopolitics 83% +$250,739 $10,756,392 vol · 215 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$1,354	win
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	85¢	94¢	+$495	win
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$817	win
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$896	win
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	73¢	84¢	+$22	win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-159	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	63¢	80¢	+$875	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	57¢	26¢	$-1,480	loss
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	73¢	88¢	+$72	win
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$18	win

Economy 94% +$60,178 $2,542,000 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3,998	win
US recession in 2025?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$4,587	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$8,089	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1,209	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	96¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$337	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$8,258	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$310	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	No	98¢	100¢	+$96	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2,291	win

Crypto 81% +$8,371 $1,028,319 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	91¢	100¢	+$108	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?	No	98¢	100¢	+$12	win
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1,031	win
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?	No	80¢	0¢	$-3,042	loss
Will Ethereum hit $3k or $4k first?	4000	70¢	100¢	+$238	win
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-55,566	loss
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$2,253	win
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$186	win
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?	No	93¢	100¢	$-282	loss

Sports 100% +$5,283 $51,801 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
$YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1,503	win
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$80	win
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$3,700	win

Weather 100% +$5,125 $46,580 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$5,107	win
September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?	No	99¢	100¢	+$18	win

Culture 67% +$4,048 $93,272 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,573	win
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$2,518	win

Tech 83% +$1,337 $37,663 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	94¢	27¢	$-957	loss
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1,177	win
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?	No	97¢	100¢	+$62	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	77¢	100¢	+$761	win
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$26	win
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$267	win

Finance 60% $-1,538 $50,215 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	68¢	0¢	$-446	loss
Circle IPO in 2025?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-3,696	loss
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$61	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2,486	win
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?	No	86¢	100¢	+$58	win